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Thanong: Abhisit is the 'great pretender'
May. 06 2010 - 07:07 am
Thanong, Abhisit Vejjajiva, Thailand
The Nation's Thanong is not happy about Abhisit Vejjajiva's proposed road map (reason enough to think it is fair and reasonable?).
First, the pre-road map criticism of Abhisit - title of blog post is "Now, Abhisit is the problem":
Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva came out this morning on TV to make his customary excuses.
Trying to put on a sympathetic face, Abhisit said he understands the frustration of many Thais, who would like to see the government do something to end the Red Shirt rally. He explained that his government has actually been pursuing measures to bring the crisis to an end, though it has to make sure that the side effects would have to be minimum and that once it really implements the measures, it must be successful.
Abhisit's premiership has sunk to the bottom of the Chao Phya River, the river of the Kings, as he keeps on delaying making a tough decision to restore law and order to the land
His first post about the road map provides a basic outline and then he comments:
The government has also sent in its emissaries to negotiate secretly with the Red Shirts.
...
Still, a military crackdown against the Red Shirts would create a risk to Abhisit's premiership as it would be a military operation over which the prime minister would have no control.
The roadmap offers a softlanding for Abhisit. It also provides an exit, though not a nice one, for the Red Shirts if they were to realise that they would have no chance of forcing the premier's resignation or a House dissolution in 30 days as they have demanded. However, Abhisit's roadmap has given little weight to the April 10 clash during which the Phayak Burapha military regiment from Prachinburi suffered heavy casualties. The military faction related to Phayak Burapha still wants to settle this score. The military infighting on April 10 has further complicated the political upheavals.
Let's see how the Red Shirts would react to Abhisit's roadmap, which does not look like a roadmap at all. Yet still, a chance for peace is very slim as the wounds from the April 10 clash are too deep to heal.
This seems like reasonably sensible analysis, but now he comes out fully against the road map in a new post where he calls Abhisit the great pretender. Key excerpts:
Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva's roadmap appears to signal an abrupt end to the political upheavals, followed by a grand reconciliation of the people of all colours in the Kingdom of Thailand. But it is an ill-thought roadmap, hastily assembled as a short cut to save his own premiership at the expense of the rule of law.
Since April 10, after the clash between the Red Shirts and the military troops, he promised to restore the law and order. He did virtually nothing. It was not until May 3, or more than three weeks later, that the prime minister handed out an olive branch to the Red Shirts, although the Red Shirts had already painted themselves into the corner.
Abhisit is the Great Pretender. He struck a truce with Khunying Pojaman Na Pombejra without consulting the senior Democrats. A political source told me last night that the Red Shirts would accept Abhisit's compromising deal. MR Sukhumbhand Paribatra, the Bangkok governor, was doing most of the negotiations with Suthep Thuagsuban's blessings.
"He had been running back and forth with the Reds, Brunei, and the 11th Infantry Regiment. And now the end is near...Frank Sinatra of My Way," he said.
"Abhisit could not force Gen Anupong Paochinda and Gen Prawit Wongsuwan to execute the dispersal of the Red Shirts. This is the final and best compromise. It is May 4. And November 14 is six months away. Banharn Silapa-archa and the Phue Pandin have also applied pressure on Abhisit to reach a deal. Constitutional amendments will be a pre-election fight."
Chuan Leekpai, the former prime minister, was pretty upset upon learning about the deal. He believed that there were several ways to approach this dilemma. But the rule of law must be the priority. Asked why Abhisit had failed to consult with the phuyai of the Democrat Party, Chuan quipped: "Why does he need to consult phuyai when he already has a kamnan?" By kamnan, Chuan must mean that Abhisit is now under the tutelage of Suthep.
Newin Chidchob of the Bhumjai Thai was not consulted either. He was also mad at Abhisit. It appeared that Abhisit would like to isolate the Bhumjai Thai and seek an alliance with the Pheu Thai instead. After this scene of the "great pretender", anything can happen in Thai politics.
BP: This mention of Brunei is probably in relation to rumours that Sukhumbhand met Thaksin in Brunei a few weeks ago (or is there another Brunei rumour?).
About Abhisit not consulting senior Democrats, well Abhisit himself has conceded this a few days when, according to Matichon, he stated that he had not consulted with the Democrats and there is no party resolution in favour of it (ยังไม่ได้มีการหารือกับพรรคประชาธิปัตย์และไม่ได้เป็นมติของพรรค), but believes he can explain to the party and create an understanding for the party meeting on May 6 (แต่ตนเชื่อว่าจะสามารถชี้แจงให้เข้าใจได้ในการประชุมพรรควันที่ 6 พฤษภาคมนี้)
Thanong continues:
At least, Abhisit should have preserved his Oxford-educated form by letting the Red Shirts to offer the compromise first. Instead, he struck a deal with them and he was the one who made the offer for the compromise first.
BP: Thanong would have been happier if it the red shirts offered a compromise and Abhisit accepted their proposal?
btw, bonus Thanong post on the symbolism of the reds barging into Chula hospital.
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Abhisit låter bättre och bättre. Kastar han ut Newin och Bumjai Thai är mycket trovärdighet vunnen. Newin var ju en av Thaksins närmsta män och en av de avgörande när de bytte sida och stödde Demokraterna vid senaste regeringsskiftet. Han måste ju vara livrädd för att ens tänka tanken att Thaksin skulle komma tillbaka.
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